Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.046900 0.051018 0.055191 0.059729 0.064517 0.069412 0.074788
2024-10-20 0.039470 0.045451 0.051739 0.058818 0.066535 0.074669 0.083862
2024-10-27 0.034826 0.042225 0.050266 0.059590 0.070041 0.081332 0.094391
2024-11-03 0.030306 0.038627 0.047959 0.059084 0.071867 0.085986 0.102645
2024-11-10 0.027032 0.036093 0.046551 0.059330 0.074337 0.091227 0.111494
2024-11-17 0.024602 0.034293 0.045777 0.060121 0.077291 0.096931 0.120835
2024-11-24 0.023622 0.034129 0.046854 0.063034 0.082697 0.105475 0.133506
2024-12-01 0.020513 0.031030 0.044120 0.061136 0.082199 0.106974 0.137864
2024-12-08 0.018392 0.029021 0.042586 0.060566 0.083186 0.110143 0.144130
2024-12-15 0.016632 0.027345 0.041347 0.060254 0.084396 0.113515 0.150600
2024-12-22 0.016020 0.027183 0.042038 0.062375 0.088631 0.120578 0.161563
2024-12-29 0.015075 0.026473 0.041939 0.063424 0.091485 0.125940 0.170476
2025-01-05 0.014076 0.025644 0.041672 0.064278 0.094158 0.131190 0.179423
2025-01-12 0.012602 0.024006 0.040201 0.063458 0.094624 0.133665 0.184959
2025-01-19 0.011801 0.023324 0.040022 0.064348 0.097306 0.138940 0.194012
2025-01-26 0.010662 0.022022 0.038881 0.063856 0.098119 0.141816 0.200060
2025-02-02 0.009844 0.021165 0.038331 0.064138 0.099934 0.145963 0.207718
2025-02-09 0.009248 0.020623 0.038204 0.064985 0.102490 0.151063 0.216600
2025-02-16 0.009259 0.021106 0.039630 0.068064 0.108109 0.160188 0.230687
2025-02-23 0.008048 0.019372 0.037584 0.066066 0.106721 0.160116 0.232958
2025-03-02 0.007264 0.018324 0.036539 0.065468 0.107215 0.162488 0.238361
2025-03-09 0.006606 0.017443 0.035705 0.065139 0.108054 0.165296 0.244327
2025-03-16 0.006509 0.017622 0.036582 0.067377 0.112523 0.172977 0.256693